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Current Message Return to posts
From: Hamsterwheel
The chances of exactly one coin being tails are 3 out of 7 (or approximately 42.86%). If the phrase "one

coin being tails" means at least one coin is tails, the chances rise to 6 out of 7 (or approximately 85.71%).
Here is the exact step-by-step breakdown of how this conditional probability works:

1. The Full Possibilities

When you flip three coins, there are 8 possible outcomes in total:
• HHH (3 Heads)
• HHT, HTH, THH (2 Heads, 1 Tail)
• HTT, THT, TTH (1 Head, 2 Tails)
• TTT (3 Tails)

2. Applying the Hint ("At least one is Heads")

Since you are told that at least one coin is heads, you can completely rule out the all-tails scenario (TTT). This shrinks your total pool of possible outcomes from 8 down to 7:
• HHH
• HHT
• HTH
• THH
• HTT
• THT
• TTH

3. Calculating the Final Probability

Depending on how you interpret "one coin being tails," the math changes slightly:
• Interpretation A: Exactly one coin is tails
Looking at our remaining pool of 7 possibilities, there are 3 outcomes that contain exactly one tail: HHT, HTH, and THH.
\(\text{Probability}=\frac{3}{7}\approx 42.86\%\)
• Interpretation B: At least one coin is tails
Looking at our remaining pool of 7 possibilities, every single outcome contains at least one tail except for HHH. That leaves 6 outcomes.
\(\text{Probability}=\frac{6}{7}\approx 85.71\%\)

 Current Thread  Author  Time 
Probability puzzle (no goats)...[more]
 Occhio Pazzo 🇬🇧  18:00:25 
>> OP are you auditioning us for a hedge fund?
 JonH🍕  19:31:24 
>> Busted!
 Occhio Pazzo 🇬🇧  20:26:47 
>> Put your question to No 2. He rarely replies within the same day. ...[more]
 JonH🍕  21:05:19 
>> Precisely one being tails is 3/7 I think ...[more]
 Mike Mike  18:34:53 
>> Winner! Prize is a two week all inclusive stay at the Sugar Mill Hotel...[more]
 Occhio Pazzo 🇬🇧  18:46:53 
>> Excellent!!!...[more]
 Mike Mike  20:36:20 
>> Nowhere does it say the sequence matters. In the terms of the question is ... [more]
 Denc 🗡  22:50:42 
>> Yes you are right...[more]
 Mike Mike  23:14:03 
>> The chances of exactly one coin being tails are 3 out of 7 (or approximately ... [more]
 Hamsterwheel  18:34:41 
>> Disqualified for using AI...[more]
 Occhio Pazzo 🇬🇧  18:47:14 
>> Well if you will set a trick question!
 Hamsterwheel  19:25:28 
>> Gay
 JonH🍕  19:38:15 
>> You would say 50% which is logical if you exclude the already flipped coin. If you ... [more]
 Denc 🗡  18:11:06 
>> 50/50 ..?
 LP12  18:04:36 

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